Wednesday, September 30, 2009

First Power Rankings

Week 3 is important, because we can start to detect trends in the NFL. One game can be an anomaly, two can be luck, three is a trend. With that said, here are my first Power Rankings of the season.

The Big Boys
  1. New York Giants (3-0) - Who said Eli needs Plax? As I predicted, Manning has been even better without Burress, connecting with new favorites Steve Smith and Mario Manningham. Oh, and the defense allowed only 86 yards last week. Ridiculous.
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-0) - A team known for stifling defense has scored 34.3 points per game. Joe Flacco is looking extremely sharp so far.
  3. New Orleans Saints (3-0) - 40 points per game? Are you kidding me? And as impressive as Drew Brees has been, what's being overlooked is the running game, which is putting up over 170 yards per game.
  4. Minnesota Vikings (3-0) - One word to describe Brett Favre's game-winning pass to Greg Lewis last week: Ridinculocity. I'm having a hard time thinking of any play that was that amazing, in which NO luck was involved. That play was pure skill.
  5. New York Jets (3-0) - The NFL's 3rd ranked defense has a QB who appears to be the real deal, a Head Coach who has lit a fire under his team and a CB in Darelle Revis, who is nearing Nnamdi Asomugha status right now.
The Sidekicks

6. Indianapolis Colts (3-0) - Yes, the Colts are 3-0. Yes, Peyton Manning is leading the NFL's leading pass offense. But I do have my questions. Like, how did Miami's running game dominate them so badly two weeks ago and how did they struggle so badly at home against Jacksonville?

7. San Francisco 49ers (2-1) - It hasn't been pretty, but take away that ridinculocity from Brett Favre and this team is 3-0 with a win at Minnesota. Frank Gore's ankle injury will hurt them, but Singletary + Shaun Hill seems to = Wins.

8. Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) - They beat Green Bay. They beat Pittsburgh. If it weren't for the luckiest play ever for Brandon Stokely, they would have beaten Denver and would be 3-0. Regardless, people are starting to notice their defense, while Cedric Benson has emerged as a pretty solid back.

9. Denver Broncos (3-0) - 10 bucks says you didn't have the Broncos at 3-0 to start the year. Yeah, they've only allowed 5.3 points per game so far, but let's see how they handle Dallas this weekend before getting too crazy about them.

10. Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) - 5th ranked defense, 7th ranked offense and #1 ranked creative playcalling have fans believing the sky's the limit for this talented group.

11. Dallas Cowboys (2-1) - The sky isn't falling nearly as much as the media would like you to believe. Big D's only loss was by 2 points to arguably the best team in the NFL. The Defense also finally woke up this past Monday night.

12. New England Patriots (2-1) - Yeah, they could be 1-2 right now if it weren't for a choke job by Buffalo, but Tom Brady looked very sharp in a win over Atlanta, while the defense has been a pleasant, yet unheralded, surprise.

The Average Joes

13. Chicago Bears (2-1) - Jay Cutler has been fine since the Week 1 debacle, while the defense has been a surprising bright spot, but where in the world is Matt Forte?

14. Green Bay Packers (2-1) - Still kind of a mystery. They're only the 22nd ranked offense, but are scoring 27 points per game. Their defense also seems suspect, but they've intercepted 7 passes already. This team has potential.

15. Atlanta Falcons (2-1) - 23rd on offense, 24 on defense. Michael Turner is having the sophomore slump many expected Matt Ryan to have.

16. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2) - The only 1-2 team that people don't seems worried about. Big Ben has put them in position to win, and allowed the defense to hold for the win. The problem is, they can't run the ball, which is a big reason reason why they're not closing out games.

17. San Diego Chargers (2-1) - Running game has really struggled, but luckily Philip Rivers has picked up the slack. Still, they struggled to beat Oakland, and Miami should have been much easier than it ended up being last week.

Who are these guys?

18. Arizona Cardinals (1-2) - Well, they can still throw the ball, but Kurt Warner is hurting. They can beat the bad teams, but struggled mightily against Indianapolis and San Francisco. Also, they can't stop the pass, and there's no bright side to that one.

19. Seattle Seahawks (1-2) - They are absurdly banged up
for the second year in a row, but have remained competitive. Last week, behind Seneca Wallace, they were beating Chicago until the Two-Minute Warning.

20. Houston Texans (1-2) - The good news is, they can still throw the ball all over the field and put up points. The problem is, Steve Slaton is having a horrific sophomore slump and the defense is allowing over 200 yards per game on the ground.

21. Tennessee Titans (0-3) - Yeah they're 0-3, but they've been in position to win all three games. They went down to the wire at Pittsburgh, had to endure a great comeback by Houston and remained close with the Jets. They really need a win at Jacksonville this weekend.

22. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) - They've been competitive, but like all three AFC South teams not led by Peyton Manning, they have many, many question marks, starting with a completely non-existent pass rush.

The Forgettables

23. Buffalo Bills (1-2) - Good news: They should have beaten New England and Fred Jackson has over 400 total yards already. The bad news: They got whooped by a Saints team that didn't even have their best stuff on Sunday.

24. Detroit Lions (1-2) - As owner William Clay Ford said: "We got King-Kong off our back". Nice to see Matthew Stafford have a quality game.

25. Washington Redskins (1-2) - They're far too talented to be this low on the list, but they have an awful habit of playing down to their competition. Clinton Portis is wearing down prematurely.

26. Carolina Panthers (0-3) - Stop buying into Carolina, people. Jake Delhomme and John Fox have put up a lot of wins over the years, but they're also what's made Carolina so wildly inconsistent in the same span. Also, as expected, the injury to Ma'ake Kemoeatu is allowing teams to run all over them.

The Losers

27. Oakland Raiders (1-2) - Can we say it? Can we finally, without question, say it? Jamarcus Russell is an awful NFL QB who was only drafted #1 overall because of arm strength, a mistake that scouts make year after year after year. His rating is 39.8 this year with a 41.3 completion percentage.

28. Miami Dolphins (0-3) - Whether you like Chad Pennington or not, you have to admit that he is unquestionably the leader and MVP of this team. They'll miss him a lot. Ted Ginn may have a slight grin on his face, however, now that he can better utilize his deep speed.

29. Kansas City Chiefs (0-3) - Their defense is a little better, but their offensive line is not. Larry Johnson is rushing for 2.5 yards per carry and the QBs have been sacked 8 times this year. Also, they lost at home to the Raiders.

30. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3) - 0 points, 58 passing yards, 28 rushing yards, just 5 first downs, 0 sacks, 0 turnovers forced and 226 yards allowed on the ground at home against the Giants over the weekend. This was professional football players playing against each other, not Florida vs. Charleston Southern. Shameful performance by the rebuilding Bucs.

31. St. Louis Rams (0-3) - They've put up 8 points per game against less-than-stellar offenses, they've allowed over 400 yards per game, their only receiver who has over 85 yards over the first three games was the #5 receiver for Atlanta last year, and they probably will have Kyle Boller starting at QB for them. This is ugly.

32. Cleveland Browns (0-3) - Trent Dilfer, arguably ESPN's best analyst, said that Peyton Manning and Tom Brady would struggle with this offense. They've allowed 11 sacks in three games and their average score per game is 10-32. They've also failed to score an offensive touchdown in 8 of their last 9 games. That may be the worst stat in all of football right now.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Penn State vs. Akron Post-Game Notes


  • Darryl Clark hasn't missed a beat and really helped an unproven WR corp look absolutely solid out there
  • There's plenty of versatility in this new WR group. Derek Moye is looking like a great deep threat, Graham Zug is a solid possession guy, Brett Brackett is the biggest target at PSU since Joe Jurevicious and Chaz Powell is a do-it-all option for this offense.
  • Moye and Powell, especially, were very impressive in their starting debuts
  • The running game, on the other hand, is a concern. Evan Royster and Stephfon Green benefitted from a sensational interior line last season. In the first game, new starters Lou Eliades and Matt Stankiewitch failed to open up many holes in the run game.
  • Coach Paterno mentioned that Akron unexpectantly used 4-man fronts most of the game instead of the 3-5 set that they had employed last season, leading to confusion in blocking assignments along the line. I want to buy that, but a) By the second half, you'd think the O-Line would have adjusted and b) They had been practicing against 4-man fronts all off-season.
  • Defensively, Penn State boasts an extremely stout DT duo in Ollie Ogbu and Jared Odrick. Odrick, especially, appears to be a first-day pick in next year's NFL draft.
  • Navarro Bowman left in the first quarter because of a nagging groin injury that's hampered him for some time, but Nathan Stupar stepped in and outplayed everyone in the back-7.
  • Sean Lee was solid, but unspectacular. Having not played in a competetive football game since the 2007 Alamo Bowl, that's somewhat understandable, but he's been healthy for 8 months now, so look for him to return to being spectacular again.
  • The secondary looked fine, despite outspoken concerns about the group leading upto Saturday. Other than one blown coverage by Nick Sukay, the entire group played solidly.
  • Andrew Dailey had and interception and had the game's longest run on a fake punt. I wonder if he'll get more opportunities in the future.
  • New kicker Collin Wagner struggled. But remember, kicking is the only element of football where you can't get into a rhythm because it's done so sporadically. So nerves play a really big part in it. First-year kickers tend to struggle. Remember, Kevin Kelly had a rough first season, too. I'm willing to stay patient with Wagner
  • I hate Royster returning punts. Punt Returning is an extremely dangerous part of football, and Royster is a key kog to this offense. On one return, it looked like Royster's leg bent a little awkwardly, and sure enough, he sat out the entire drive as Green handled the duties. Why would you ever want your starting RB unavailable for an offensive series? Get Royster off Special Teams!
  • Tons of True Freshman, especially for a Paterno team. WR Devon Smith was a huge surprise to me, given that he's 5'7 and 153 lbs. The freshman was an active part of the offense and actually had Penn State's first touch of the season, as he returned the opening kickoff. Other true Freshmen contributing were WR Curtis Drake, DE Sean Stanley, QB Kevin Newsome, S Gerald Hodges and DB Stephon Morris

Tuesday, September 8, 2009

Inside the NFL Season Preview

Here’s a recap of Inside the NFL’s Predictions Show before Week 1

Host: Trevor Turner
Analysts: Kevin Gallagher, Jeremy Richfield, Jeremy Kahn, Marco Ranzi

NFC East:

Team To Beat:
• Gallagher: Philadelphia Eagles
• Richfield: Philadelphia Eagles
• Kahn: New York Giants
• Turner: New York Giants

MVP:
• Gallagher: OLB DeMarcus Ware, Dallas Cowboys
• Richfield: RB Brandon Jacobs, Giants
• Kahn: RB Brandon Jacobs, Giants
• Turner: QB Eli Manning, Giants

Bold Prediction:
• Gallagher: Brandon Jacobs leads NFC East in rushing
• Richfield: Rookie WR Hakeem Nicks has strong impact for Giants
• Kahn: Eli Manning has solid year, Giants and Cowboys lead division
• Turner: Eagles fail to make playoffs

NFC North:

Team To Beat:
• Gallagher: Green Bay Packers
• Richfield: Minnesota Vikings
• Kahn: Minnesota Vikings
• Turner: Green Bay Packers

MVP:
• Gallagher: RB Adrian Peterson, Vikings
• Richfield: RB Adrian Peterson, Vikings
• Kahn: QB Jay Cutler, Chicago Bears
• Turner: RB Adrian Peterson, Vikings

Bold Prediction:
• Gallagher: Cutler leads Bears to playoffs
• Richfield: Detroit Lions post .500 record
• Kahn: QB Aaron Rodgers won’t have great season
• Turner: Bears win less games than last season

NFC South:

Team To Beat:
• Gallagher: New Orleans Saints
• Richfield: Atlanta Falcons
• Kahn: New Orleans Saints
• Turner: New Orleans Saints

MVP:
• Gallagher: QB Drew Brees, Saints
• Richfield: QB Drew Brees, Saints
• Kahn: QB Drew Brees, Saints
• Turner: QB Drew Brees, Saints

Bold Prediction:
• Gallagher: Saints only team to make playoffs
• Richfield: RB Pierre Thomas becomes solid ground threat for Saints
• Kahn: Carolina Panthers and Falcons fail to make playoffs
• Turner: Panthers will be NFL’s most disappointing team

NFC West:

Team To Beat:
• Gallagher: Arizona Cardinals
• Richfield: Arizona Cardinals
• Kahn: Arizona Cardinals
• Turner: San Francisco 49ers

MVP:
• Gallagher: QB Kurt Warner, Cardinals
• Richfield: WR Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals
• Kahn: QB Kurt Warner, Cardinals
• Turner: MLB Patrick Willis, 49ers

Bold Prediction:
• Gallagher: 49ers finish above .500
• Richfield: Steven Jackson has bounce back season for St. Louis Rams
• Kahn: Seattle Seahawks won’t be any better this season
• Turner: OLBs Manny Lawson and Parys Haralson combine for 20 sacks for Niners

AFC East:

Team To Beat:
• Ranzi: New England Patriots
• Richfield: New England Patriots
• Gallagher: New England Patriots
• Turner: New England Patriots

MVP:
• Ranzi: QB Tom Brady, Patriots
• Richfield: RB Ronnie Brown, Miami Dolphins
• Gallagher: QB Tom Brady, Patriots
• Turner: QB Tom Brady, Patriots

Bold Prediction:
• Ranzi: New York Jets make playoffs
• Richfield: QB Trent Edwards has breakout season for Buffalo Bills
• Gallagher: Jets won’t improve as much as expected
• Turner: Every team other than Patriots has worse record than last season

AFC North:

Team To Beat:
• Ranzi: Pittsburgh Steelers
• Richfield: Pittsburgh Steelers
• Gallagher: Pittsburgh Steelers
• Turner: Baltimore Ravens

MVP:
• Ranzi: FS Troy Polamalu, Steelers
• Richfield: QB Carson Palmer, Cincinnati Bengals
• Gallagher: WR Chad Ochocinco, Bengals
• Turner: DE Haloti Ngata, Ravens

Bold Prediction:
• Ranzi: Cleveland Browns and Bengals have improved seasons
• Richfield: Ravens miss playoffs, have disappointing season
• Gallagher: Eric Mangini won’t improve anything in Cleveland
• Turner: Bengals will be much improved, win 8 games

AFC South:

Team To Beat:
• Ranzi: Indianapolis Colts
• Richfield: Indianapolis Colts
• Kahn: Indianapolis Colts
• Turner: Indianapolis Colts

MVP:
• Ranzi: WR Andre Johnson, Houston Texans
• Richfield: QB Peyton Manning, Colts
• Kahn: QB Peyton Manning, Colts
• Turner: DE Mario Williams, Texans

Bold Prediction:
• Ranzi: Texans make playoffs
• Richfield: Rookie RB Donald Brown has big impact for Colts
• Kahn: Tennessee Titans stay strong without Haynesworth
• Turner: Texans make playoffs

AFC West:

Team To Beat:
• Ranzi: San Diego Chargers
• Richfield: San Diego Chargers
• Kahn: San Diego Chargers
• Turner: San Diego Chargers

MVP:
• Ranzi: QB Philip Rivers, Chargers
• Richfield: QB Philip Rivers, Chargers
• Kahn: QB Philip Rivers, Chargers
• Turner: CB Nnamdi Asomugha, Oakland Raiders

Bold Prediction:
• Ranzi: Entire division finishes below .500, except Chargers
• Richfield: Denver Broncos are NFL’s most disappointing team
• Kahn: Chiefs and Raiders show no improvement
• Turner: Chargers sweep division and are only team to finish above 6-10

Thursday, September 3, 2009

Quick Preview: Miami Dolphins


Since the last time we saw them:
2008 Record: 11-5, Wild Card loss vs. Baltimore
Key Additions: C Jake Grove, OLB Jason Taylor, S Gibril Wilson, CB Eric Green, DL Tony McDaniel, OL Joe Berger
Key Losses: CB Andre Goodman, DL Vonnie Holliday, S Renaldo Hill, C Samson Satele, C Al Johnson, LB Derek Smith, QB John Beck
Top Draft Picks: CB Vontae Davis, QB Pat White, CB Sean Smith, WR Brian Hartline

What we now know:
Best Player: OLB Joey Porter
Most Underrated: S Yeremiah Bell

Looking Forward:
Breakout Candidates: WR Ted Ginn Jr., WR Davone Bess, DL Kendall Langford
Looking to bounce back: WR Greg Camarillo, OLB Jason Taylor, OG Donald Thomas
Time to step up: OG Donald Thomas, DL Randy Starks

Strengths:
  • An incredibly smart and accurate QB in Chad Pennington
  • A quality, versatile RB in Ronnie Brown
  • A quality pair of bookend OTs in Jake Long and Vernon Carey headline a solid Offensive Line
  • OLB Porter's pass rush ability
  • ILB Channing Crowder's solid, consistent play
  • A quality S duo in Bell and Wilson
  • Depth almost everywhere
  • The ideal pieces in place to run the Wildcat Offense
  • A strong Front Office and coaching staff, overseen by Bill Parcells
Concerns:
  • QB Pennington's poor arm strength limiting the offense
  • QB Pennington's health, given that last year was only the second year that he has remained healthy through 16 games
  • Lack of big-time difference makers at WR
  • Unproven potential starters at RG position
  • RDE position manned by underachievers Starks and Phillip Merling
  • CB spot opposite Will Allen to be manned by unproven players/rookies
  • New FS Wilson's ability to switch from SS
  • Absolutely brutal schedule (only 3 games against '08 teams with losing records)
  • Increased expectations puts bull's eye on team's back
Expectations: AFC East Title, Playoff Run

Quick Preview: Buffalo Bills


Since the last time we saw them:
2008 Record: 7-9
Key Additions: WR Terrell Owens, C Geoff Hangartner, CB Drayton Florence, OL Seth McKinney, RB Dominic Rhodes
Key Losses: LT Jason Peters, OLB Angelo Crowell, OG Derrick Dockery, C Melvin Fowler, CB Jabari Greer, LB Teddy Lehman, QB J.P. Losman, C Duke Preston, TE Robert Royal, OL Jason Whittle
Top Draft Picks: DE Aaron Maybin, OL Eric Wood, OL Andy Levitre, S Jairus Byrd

What we now know:
Best Player: WR Terrell Owens
Most Underrated: CB Terrence McGee

Looking Forward:
Breakout Candidates: QB Trent Edwards, MLB Paul Posluszny, CB Leodis McKelvin, S Donte Whitner
Looking to bounce back: DE Aaron Schobel, DT Marcus Stroud
Time to step up: TE Derek Fine, TE Derek Shouman, C Geoff Hangartner, OG Eric Wood, OG Andy Levitre, CB Leodis McKelvin

Strengths:
  • A deep, talented WR corp led by Owens and Lee Evans
  • A powerful young RB in Marshawn Lynch with a capable backup in Fred Jackson
  • A talented CB tandem in McGee and McKelvin
  • Superbe special teams
  • Several young talents on the verge of breaking out
Concerns:
  • Entire Offensive Line is either unproven or unreliable
  • Pass protection could be real problem with Langston Walker protecting QB Edwards's blind side
  • RB Lynch's 3-game suspension at start of season
  • TE position
  • Pass rush if DE Schobel can't bounce back from injury and DE Maybin doesn't have great rookie season
  • SLB Keith Ellison is really more of a Nickel LB than a starter
  • LB position thin and relatively mediocre
  • Head Coach Dick Jauron's inability to take team to the next level the last two seasons
Expectations: Playoffs